多小水电地区网供负荷预测研究Research on Connected Load Forecast in Regions with Plenty of Small Hydropower Stations
刘艳红,倪秋龙,黄民翔
LIU Yanhong,NI Qiulong,HUANG Minxiang
摘要(Abstract):
分析了多水电地区网供负荷的特点,利用相关性分析方法及人工神经网络对多小水电地区的网供负荷短期预测进行研究,并对某多小水电地区开展网供负荷预测实例模拟,预测结果验证了方法的有效性和实用性。
This paper analyzes main characteristics of connected load in regions with plenty of small hydropower stations and investigates short-term forecast of the connected load by correlation analysis and artificial neural network. In addition, the paper simulates connected load in regions with plenty of small hydropower stations. The forecast result demonstrates the effectiveness and practicality of the method.
关键词(KeyWords):
短期负荷预测;网供负荷;小水电负荷;人工神经网络;BP算法;Matlab程序
short-term load forecast;connected load;load of small hydropower stations;artificial neural networks;back propagation algorithm;matlab program
基金项目(Foundation):
作者(Author):
刘艳红,倪秋龙,黄民翔
LIU Yanhong,NI Qiulong,HUANG Minxiang
DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.2015.12.002
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- 短期负荷预测
- 网供负荷
- 小水电负荷
- 人工神经网络
- BP算法
- Matlab程序
short-term load forecast - connected load
- load of small hydropower stations
- artificial neural networks
- back propagation algorithm
- matlab program