浙江电力

2018, v.37;No.269(09) 73-78

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售电公司客户风险等级评估方法研究
Study of Customer Risk Grade Evaluation Method for Power Sales Corporations

唐猛
TANG Meng

摘要(Abstract):

针对我国售电市场开放初期,售电公司选择客户时风险因素考虑不足的现状,提出了一种基于层次可拓法的售电公司客户风险等级评估方法。首先,建立多指标分层次的售电公司客户风险等级评估模型。其次,采用层次可拓法和主、客观加权平均权重法相结合的等级评估法,实现对目标客户的风险等级划分。最后选取广东省某地区一些典型客户进行评估,结果证明了该评估方法的合理性和有效性,为售电公司拓展客户、降低经营风险、提高收益提供了理论支撑。
In the early period of power sales market opening-up in China, risky factors were not soundly considered when the power sales corporations chose customers. The paper proposes a customer grade evaluation method based on extension AHP method. Firstly, a customer grade evaluation model is established based on multiple indicators and hierarchy; secondly, the grade evaluation method which combines objective and subjective weighting method with extension AHP method is adopted for customer grade evaluation. Finally, some typical customers in a region of Guangdong province are selected fir evaluation and the result shows the rationality and validity of the method, which provides theoretical basis for customer extension, operation risk reduction and profit increase of power sales corporations.

关键词(KeyWords): 售电公司;电力市场;物元理论;可拓层次法;风险等级评估;评估模型
power sales corporation;power market;matter-element theory;extension AHP method;risk grade evaluation;evaluation model

Abstract:

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作者(Author): 唐猛
TANG Meng

DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.201809016

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