考虑风电消纳的电供暖多方合作博弈研究Research on Multi-party Cooperative Game of Electric Heating Considering Wind Power Consumption
岳云力,李倩,方勇,刘忠华,李笑蓉,岳昊,武冰清
YUE Yunli,LI Qian,FANG Yong,LIU Zhonghua,LI Xiaorong,YUE Hao,WU Bingqing
摘要(Abstract):
风电供暖可以提高北方风能资源丰富地区消纳风电的能力,同时改善北方地区冬季大气环境。针对风电供暖中由于成本高而产生的多方博弈问题,构建了电网公司、风电企业、供暖企业多方协同的合作博弈模型,并以张家口地区为例,分析了各方的成本收益,利用Shapely值法得到参与各方的成本分摊情况。结果显示:协作机制能有效推动风电供暖的实施,参与各方均能获得一定的收益,尤其是风电企业和供暖企业收益能够持续增加;但随着供暖面积的增加,电网公司收益会下降。针对上述结果,从规划、价格等方面提出了推动风电供暖的政策建议。
Wind power heating can improve the ability to absorb wind power in the northern areas with rich wind energy resources and in the meantime improve the atmospheric environment in winter. Given the multiparty cooperative game caused by the high cost in wind power heating, this paper constructs a multi-party cooperative game model of grid companies, wind power enterprises and heating supply enterprises. Taking Zhangjiakou as an example, this paper analyzes the cost-benefit of each party and obtains the cost-sharing of each party by using the Shapley value method. The results show that the cooperation mechanism can effectively promote the implementation of wind power heating, and all parties involved can gain certain benefits,and wind power enterprises and heating companies, in particular, will increasingly gain benefits; However,the benefits of grid companies will decline with the increase of heating area. Given the above results, some policy suggestions are put forward to promote wind power heating from the aspects of planning and price.
关键词(KeyWords):
风电供暖;合作博弈;四方协作;Shapely值
wind power heating;cooperative game;quartet cooperation;Shapely value
基金项目(Foundation): 国网冀北电力有限公司资助项目(SGTYHT/18-JS-209)
作者(Author):
岳云力,李倩,方勇,刘忠华,李笑蓉,岳昊,武冰清
YUE Yunli,LI Qian,FANG Yong,LIU Zhonghua,LI Xiaorong,YUE Hao,WU Bingqing
DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.202009016
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