考虑预测误差与功率波动的光储系统混合储能容量优化配置Optimal capacity configuration of hybrid energy storage for PV-storage system considering prediction errors and power fluctuations
郭倍源,尹雁和,阮志杰,周桂,刘劲,卢小海,阮大兵
GUO Beiyuan,YIN Yanhe,RUAN Zhijie,ZHOU Gui,LIUJin,LU Xiaohai,RUAN Dabing
摘要(Abstract):
由蓄电池和超级电容器组成的HESS(混合储能系统)可以有效减小光伏出力随机性和波动性对并网的影响。为补偿预测误差与平抑波动,提出一种基于ICPO-VMD-HT(改进的冠豪猪优化-变分模态分解-希尔伯特变换)算法的混合储能容量优化配置方法。首先,以量化的功率预测误差与波动允许带宽建立综合目标域。然后,结合ICPO-VMD参数,并采用HT实现综合目标域内外功率的精准解析,进而分配低频与高频分量至蓄电池和超级电容器。最后,建立年综合成本经济模型,以河北某光伏电站实际数据为例验证了所提方法的有效性和优越性。
A hybrid energy storage system(HESS) composed of batteries and supercapacitors can effectively mitigate the impact of photovoltaic(PV) output randomness and fluctuation on grid connection. To compensate for prediction errors and suppress power fluctuations, this paper proposes a hybrid energy storage capacity optimization method based on the improved crested porcupine optimizer, variational mode decomposition, and Hilbert transform(ICPO-VMD-HT) algorithm. Firstly, a comprehensive target domain is established based on quantified power prediction errors and an allowable fluctuation bandwidth. Then, leveraging the parameters of the ICPO and VMD, the HT is employed to achieve precise decomposition of the power components inside and outside this comprehensive target domain. Subsequently, the low-frequency and high-frequency power components are allocated to the batteries and supercapacitors, respectively. Finally, an economic model for the annual comprehensive cost is established. Case studies using actual data from a PV plant in Hebei Province verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method.
关键词(KeyWords):
光储系统;混合储能;容量配置;功率预测;冠豪猪优化算法;变分模态分解;希尔伯特变换
photovoltaic-storage system;hybrid energy storage;capacity configuration;power prediction;CPO;VMD;HT
基金项目(Foundation): 南方电网公司科技项目(GDKJXM20240575)
作者(Author):
郭倍源,尹雁和,阮志杰,周桂,刘劲,卢小海,阮大兵
GUO Beiyuan,YIN Yanhe,RUAN Zhijie,ZHOU Gui,LIUJin,LU Xiaohai,RUAN Dabing
DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.202603012
参考文献(References):
- [1]许多,徐潇源,秦放,等.面向光储电站运行收益提升的光伏功率价值导向预测方法[J].电力系统自动化,2025,49(4):152-164.XU Duo,XU Xiaoyuan,QIN Fang,et al.Value-oriented photovoltaic power forecasting method for operation revenue improvement of photovoltaic-energy storage plants[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2025,49(4):152-164.
- [2]毛志宇,李晨,李培强,等.提升新能源消纳的多类型储能复合控制与经济性分析[J].电力自动化设备,2025,45(1):115-122.MAO Zhiyu,LI Chen,LI Peiqiang,et al.Composite control and economic analysis of multi-type energy storage for improving accommodation of renewable energy[J]. Electric Power Automation Equipment,2025,45(1):115-122.
- [3]刘嘉恒,张明,葛磊蛟,等.基于改进郊狼优化算法的光伏智能边缘终端优化配置方法[J].电工技术学报,2021,36(7):1368-1379.LIU Jiaheng,ZHANG Ming,GE Leijiao,et al. Optimal configuration method of photovoltaic intelligent edge terminal based on improved coyote optimization algorithm[J].Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society,2021,36(7):1368-1379.
- [4]XIAO G,XU F,TONG L H,et al.A hybrid energy storage system based on self-adaptive variational mode decomposition to smooth photovoltaic power fluctuation[J].Journal of Energy Storage,2022,55:105509.
- [5]吕金历,柯贤波,葛鹏江,等.新型电力系统下计入爬坡与互补特性的储能电站容量分配策略[J].电网与清洁能源,2025,41(5):75-85.L??Jinli,KE Xianbo,GE Pengjiang,et al.Capacity allocation strategy for energy storage power stations considering ramp and complementary characteristics in the new power system[J].Power System and Clean Energy,2025,41(5):75-85.
- [6]李青春,徐君威,张绍强,等.计及新能源波动平抑的储能电站日前-实时运行决策[J].太阳能学报,2025,46(3):43-53.LI Qingchun,XU Junwei,ZHANG Shaoqiang,et al.Decision for day-ahead and real-time operation of energy storage plants considering smoothing of new energy fluctuations[J].Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2025,46(3):43-53.
- [7]孙少华,李更丰,邹文秋,等.兼顾常规场景经济性与极端场景弹性的多类型储能设备配置策略[J/OL].高电压技术,2025:1-14.(2025-03-05). https://link. cnki. net/doi/10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20250023.SUN Shaohua,LI Gengfeng,ZOU Wenqiu,et al.Configuration strategy of multi-type energy storage equipment considering economy of conventional scenarios and elasticity of extreme scenarios[J/OL]. High Voltage Engineering,2025:1-14.(2025-03-05). https://link. cnki. net/doi/10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20250023.
- [8]王丽馨,魏明宇,刘禹彤,等.基于集对分析的电网调峰调频混合储能选型方法[J/OL].高电压技术,2025:1-16.(2025-06-11).https://link.cnki.net/doi/10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20250094.WANG Lixin,WEI Mingyu,LIU Yutong,et al.Selection method of hybrid energy storage for peak shaving and frequency modulation of power grid based on set pair analysis[J/OL].High Voltage Engineering,2025:1-16.(2025-06-11).https://link.cnki.net/doi/10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20250094.
- [9]张圣祺,刘何毓,汪飞,等.面向电网二次调频需求的“PXP”储能集群分布式均衡控制策略[J].中国电机工程学报,2022,42(3):886-900.ZHANG Shengqi,LIU Heyu,WANG Fei,et al.A balancing control strategy for“power-X-power” energy storage cluster in system load frequency control[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2022,42(3):886-900.
- [10]LI H L,ZOU G B,ZHANG K K,et al.Selection of hybrid energy storage based on interval analytic hierarchy process[C]//2023 8th Asia Conference on Power and Electrical Engineering(ACPEE).April 14-16,2023,Tianjin,China.IEEE,2023:754-758.
- [11]RANA M M,UDDIN M,SARKAR M R,et al.A review on hybrid photovoltaic-Battery energy storage system:Current status,challenges,and future directions[J]. Journal of Energy Storage,2022,51:104597.
- [12]闫群民,刘语忱,董新洲,等.基于CEEMDAN-HT的平抑光伏出力混合储能容量优化配置[J].电力系统保护与控制,2022,50(21):43-53.YAN Qunmin,LIU Yuchen,DONG Xinzhou,et al. Hybrid energy storage capacity optimization configuration for smoothing PV output based on CEEMDAN-HT[J].Power System Protection and Control,2022,50(21):43-53.
- [13]武鑫,李洋涛,马志勇,等.基于改进小波包分解的混合储能系统容量配置方法[J].太阳能学报,2023,44(8):23-29.WU Xin,LI Yangtao,MA Zhiyong,et al. Capacity configuration method of hybrid energy storage system based on improved wavelet packet decomposition[J].Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2023,44(8):23-29.
- [14]陈浈斐,马程,葛磊蛟,等.分布式光伏接入下智能配电网的集中式混合储能选址定容优化方法[J/OL].电网技术,2024:1-16.(2024-12-03). https://link. cnki. net/doi/10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2024.1409.CHEN Zhenfei,MA Cheng,GE Leijiao,et al. Optimization method for site selection and capacity determination of centralized hybrid energy storage in intelligent distribution networks under distributed photovoltaic access[J/OL]. Power System Technology,2024:1-16.(2024-12-03).https://link.cnki.net/doi/10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2024.1409.
- [15]李鑫,王娟,邱亚,等.基于VMD的混合储能容量优化配置[J].太阳能学报,2022,43(2):88-96.LI Xin,WANG Juan,QIU Ya,et al.Optimal allocation of hybrid energy storage capacity based on variational mode decomposition[J].Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2022,43(2):88-96.
- [16]钟士元,陈俊志,张华,等.跟踪光伏计划出力偏差的储能容量配置研究[J].电网与清洁能源,2024,40(6):30-38.ZHONG Shiyuan,CHEN Junzhi,ZHANG Hua,et al.Research on energy storage capacity configuration for tracking output deviation of photovoltaic plan[J]. Power System and Clean Energy,2024,40(6):30-38.
- [17]张琦,谢丽蓉,王威,等.计及补偿风电预测误差和平抑波动的混合储能分区优化控制策略[J].太阳能学报,2023,44(7):7-13.ZHANG Qi,XIE Lirong,WANG Wei,et al.Optimal control strategy for hybrid energy storage zoning considering compensating wind power forecasting error and smoothing fluctuation[J].Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2023,44(7):7-13.
- [18]谢丽蓉,郑浩,魏成伟,等.兼顾补偿预测误差和平抑波动的光伏混合储能协调控制策略[J].电力系统自动化,2021,45(3):130-138.XIE Lirong,ZHENG Hao,WEI Chengwei,et al.Coordinated control strategy of photovoltaic hybrid energy storage considering prediction error compensation and fluctuation suppression[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems,2021,45(3):130-138.
- [19]石涛,张斌,晁勤,等.兼顾平抑风电波动和补偿预测误差的混合储能容量经济配比与优化控制[J].电网技术,2016,40(2):477-483.SHI Tao,ZHANG Bin,CHAO Qin,et al.Economic storage ratio and optimal control of hybrid energy capacity combining stabilized wind power fluctuations with compensated predictive errors[J]. Power System Technology,2016,40(2):477-483.
- [20]GUO S,ZHENG K,HE Y,et al. The artificial intelligence-assisted short-term optimal scheduling of a cascade hydro-photovoltaic complementary system with hybrid time steps[J].Renewable Energy,2023,202:1169-1189.
- [21]王超,蔺红,庞晓虹.基于HPO-VMD和MISMADHKELM的短期光伏功率组合预测[J].太阳能学报,2023,44(12):65-73.WANG Chao,LIN Hong,PANG Xiaohong. Short-term photovoltaic power combination prediction based on hpovmd and misma-dhkelm[J].Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2023,44(12):65-73.
- [22]ABDEL-BASSET M,MOHAMED R,ABOUHAWWASH M.Crested Porcupine Optimizer:a new nature-inspired metaheuristic[J]. Knowledge-Based Systems,2024,284:111257.
- [23]张帆.风储微网中混合储能系统容量优化配置及控制研究[D].兰州:兰州交通大学,2022.ZHANG Fan.Research on capacity optimization configuration and control of hybrid Energy Storage System in WindStorage Microgrid[D].Lanzhou:Lanzhou Jiatong University,2022.
- [24]王苏蓬.混合储能在平抑风电功率波动中的最优配置研究[D].淄博:山东理工大学,2022.WANG Supeng.Research on optimal allocation of hybrid energy storage in suppressing Wind Power Fluctuation[D].Zibo:Shandong University of Technology,2022.
- 光储系统
- 混合储能
- 容量配置
- 功率预测
- 冠豪猪优化算法
- 变分模态分解
- 希尔伯特变换
photovoltaic-storage system - hybrid energy storage
- capacity configuration
- power prediction
- CPO
- VMD
- HT