110～500 kV隔离开关缺陷率统计分析研究Statistical Analysis and Research on Defect Rate of 110～500 kV Disconnectors
李斐然,王威,王绍安,池伟,刘秩锋,程养春
LI Feiran,WANG Wei,WANG Shaoan,CHI Wei,LIU Zhifeng,CHENG Yangchun
摘要(Abstract)：
为了便于开展隔离开关运维管理以及状态检修工作,需要掌握隔离开关运行过程中详细准确的缺陷信息。以某省1980—2019年隔离开关台账数据及缺陷数据为基础,从不同维度计算了隔离开关的总缺陷率和年缺陷率,依据可靠性理论,采用Weibull分布函数对年缺陷率进行拟合;统计了隔离开关每种缺陷部件和每种缺陷类型的占比及其随运行时间发生的变化,并根据Arrhenius模型和Coffin-Mason模型将设备年缺陷率与隔离开关的部分特征量关联起来,从而解释老化缺陷产生的原因。研究结果表明,不同维度下隔离开关总缺陷率略有不同,年缺陷率变化趋势基本与浴盆曲线的二、三阶段相似,机构箱为缺陷占比最高的部件,异常发热、操作卡涩为隔离开关占比较高的缺陷类型。
To carry out the operation and maintenance management and condition-based maintenance of disconnectors, it is necessary to master the detailed and accurate defect information during the operation of the disconnectors. Based on the account data and defect data of disconnectors in a province between 1980 and2019, the total defect rate and annual defect rate of disconnectors were calculated in different dimensions.According to the reliability theory, the Weibull distribution function was used to fit the annual defect rate.Then the proportion of each defect component and each defect type of the disconnector and its change with the operation time were counted. According to the Arrhenius model and Coffin-Mason model, the annual defect rate of the equipment was correlated with some characteristic quantities of the disconnector, to clarify the reasons for the aging defects of the equipment. The results showed that the total defect rates in different dimensions are slightly different, and the trend of annual defect rate is similar to the second and third stages of the bathtub curve. The mechanism box is the component with the highest defect proportion, and abnormal heating and operation jams are the major defects.
关键词(KeyWords)：
隔离开关;缺陷率;Weibull分布;缺陷类型;老化模型
disconnector;defect rate;Weibull distribution;defect types;aging model
基金项目(Foundation): 国网浙江省电力有限公司科技项目（5211DS19003D）
作者(Author):
李斐然,王威,王绍安,池伟,刘秩锋,程养春
LI Feiran,WANG Wei,WANG Shaoan,CHI Wei,LIU Zhifeng,CHENG Yangchun
DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.202107007
参考文献(References)：
- [1]高挺，常俊晓，陈音璇，等.隔离开关二次回路故障快速定位装置的研制[J].浙江电力，2020,39(3):43-49.
- [2]刘学浪.高压隔离开关的主要作用与故障分析[J].现代工业经济和信息化，2019,9(8):121-122.
- [3]刘晓燕.高压隔离开关机械故障分析及诊断技术探究[J].中国战略新兴产业，2017(32):105.
- [4]裴磊.高压隔离开关的状态评价和检修[J].中国电力企业管理，2011(16):120-121.
- [5]丁科宇，明家辉.高压隔离开关机械故障分析及诊断技术[J].科技风，2020(12):168.
- [6]赵玉成，姚剑峰，金山红，等.状态检修模式下隔离开关异常操作预案的创新与实践[J].浙江电力，2015,34(8):21-24.
- [7]程文平.隔离开关的可靠性评估及其检修管理研究[D].广州：华南理工大学，2016.
- [8]门业堃，于钊，宋威，等.基于数据可视化的隔离开关运检辅助决策[J].电力大数据，2020,23(1):37-44.
- [9]国家电网有限公司.输变电一次设备缺陷分类标准：Q/GDW 1906—2013[S].北京：中国电力出版社，2014.
- [10]LIU Z F,CHENG Y C,YANG Q Z,et al.Statistical analysis of defect modes and defect rate of isolating switches[C].Proceedings of the 7th IEEE International Conference on High Voltage Engineering and Application,Nanjing,2020:1-4.
- [11]张欣，李高扬，黄荣辉，等.不同运行年限的GIS缺陷率统计分析与运维建议[J].高压电器，2016,52(3):184-188.
- [12]XIANG Z,GOCKENBACH E,WASSERBERG V,et al.Estimation of the lifetime of the electrical components in distribution networks[J].IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery,2007,22(1):515-522.
- [13]ZHOU D,WANG Z,LI C.Data requisites for transformer statistical lifetime modellin:Part I aging-related failures[J].IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery,2013,28(3):1750-1757.
- [14]DAN Z,WANG Z,JARMAN P,et al.Data requisites for transformer statistical lifetime modelling:Part II combination of random and aging-related failures[J].IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery,2014,29(1):154-160.
- [15]国家电网有限公司.隔离开关和接地开关状态评价导则：Q/GDW 450—2010[S].北京：中国电力出版社，2010.
- [16]国家电网有限公司.隔离开关和接地开关检修决策导则：Q/GDW 11245—2014[S].北京：中国电力出版社，2014.
- [17]张铁岩，王承民，孙秋野，等.一类基于改进Weibull分布模型的电力电缆寿命评估方法[J].中国工程科学，2008(10):42-46.
- [18]RAMMINGER S,SELIGER N,WACHUTKA G.Reliability model for Al wire bonds subjected to heel crack failures[J].Microelectronics Reliability,2000,40(8-10):1521-1525.
- [19]MANSON S S,HIRSCHBERG M H.Fatigue behavior in strain cycling in the low and intermediate-cycle range[C].The 10th Sagamore Army Research Conference:FatigueAn Interdisciplinary Approach,New York,1963:13-16.
- [20]孙凌涛，李全海，刘建国，等.高压隔离开关热缺陷仿真试验分析及处理措施[J].内蒙古电力技术，2020,38(4):87-92.
- [21]高挺，常俊晓，陈音璇，等.隔离开关二次回路故障快速定位装置的研制[J].浙江电力，2020,39(3):43-49.
- [22]张仕民，李卫伟，杨洋，等.某500 kV组合电器断路器分闸不到位故障发现及分析[J].四川电力技术，2020,43(1):67-71.
- [23]侯鹏远.基于OS2标准智能导库技术研究[J].电力大数据，2019,22(8):81-87.
- [24]邱炜，蔡川，杨红权，等.一起252 kV GIS盆式绝缘子放电故障分析[J].四川电力技术，2019,42(3):75-79.