电力系统超短期负荷预测技术的应用与发展A Survey on Ultra-short Term Power Load Forecasting Method
张怡,张锋
ZHANG Yi1,2
摘要(Abstract)：
从电力系统超短期负荷预测的定义及作用出发,概述超短期负荷预测的特点及方法。按照传统预测方法、现代预测方法及综合预测方法分类,对各种超短期负荷预测方法的原理、应用范围、改进及发展方向进行了综述。指出各类超短期负荷预测方法都有特定的适用场合,在实际应用时要充分考虑预测系统的实际运行特点,才能最大限度地发挥各类方法的优势。
Based on the definition and function of ultra-short term power load forecasting method,this paper introduces the characteristics and makes a comprehensive survey on available algorithms of ultra-short term forecasting method.These algorithms are classified into three different kinds including:traditional forecasting method,modern forecasting method and combined forecasting method.The algorithm's principle,area of application and improved approach are discussed in detail.In the end,this paper states that every algorithm has the particular applying situations and advantages according to the different practical power systems.
关键词(KeyWords)：
超短期负荷预测;传统预测;现代预测;综合预测
ultra-short term load forecasting;traditional forecasting method;modern forecasting method;combined forecasting method
基金项目(Foundation):
作者(Author):
张怡,张锋
ZHANG Yi1,2
DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.2010.02.002
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- 超短期负荷预测
- 传统预测
- 现代预测
- 综合预测
ultra-short term load forecasting - traditional forecasting method
- modern forecasting method
- combined forecasting method