司雅昕,刘训强,苏向敬,田书欣
SI Yaxin,LIU Xunqiang,SU Xiangjing,TIAN Shuxin

• 1:上海电力大学电气工程学院
• 2:上海电力大学海上风电研究院

摘要(Abstract)：

提高海上风电功率预测精度是提升海上风电并网安全性与稳定性最有效的手段之一。为此，对海上风电功率预测研究进行了综述。首先，结合近年来海上风电功率预测的相关研究，从海上风电数据预处理技术、海上风电功率预测模型和大规模海上风电场集群预测三个方面开展综述调研。接着，进一步分析了当前海上风电功率预测面临的挑战。最后，结合新兴技术探讨了海上风电功率预测的潜在研究方向。研究成果可为供海上风电场的运维及其并网后的系统调度提供参考。
Improving the accuracy of offshore wind power forecasting is one of the most effective means to enhance the security and stability of offshore wind power integration. To this end, this paper proposes a review of offshore wind power forecasting studies. First, based on recent studies in offshore wind power forecasting, the review investigates three key aspects, such as data preprocessing techniques for offshore wind power, offshore wind power forecasting models, and forecasting for large-scale offshore wind farm clusters. Subsequently, the challenges currently faced in offshore wind power forecasting are analyzed. Finally, potential future research directions are explored by incorporating emerging technologies. The findings of this study can serve as a reference for the operation and maintenance of offshore wind farms as well as system dispatch after grid integration.

关键词(KeyWords)： 海上风电;功率预测;数值天气预报;概率预测;集群预测
offshore wind power;power forecasting;numerical weather forecasting;probabilistic forecasting;clustered forecasting

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金(52007112)

作者(Author): 司雅昕,刘训强,苏向敬,田书欣
SI Yaxin,LIU Xunqiang,SU Xiangjing,TIAN Shuxin

DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.202511006

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