浙江沿海地区台风灾害风险区域划分研究A study on typhoon disaster risk zoning in Zhejiang coastal areas
王振国,康丽莉,李特,姜凯华,刘超,侯慧
WANG Zhenguo,KANG Lili,LI Te,JIANG Kaihua,LIU Chao,HOU Hui
摘要(Abstract):
浙江是我国重要沿海省份,为减少台风灾害引起的损失,对电力系统的风险区域划分尤为重要。首先从登陆点分布、路径特征、时间特征、风速特征及降水特征等方面,利用历史数据总结分析浙江沿海地区台风气象特征。其次,对浙江电力系统进行台风灾害特征分析,得到输电系统故障点分布、变电系统与台风登陆点距离关系、配电系统停电用户占比分布等。最后,采用浙江台风气象及电力系统历史数据绘制台风灾害风险区域图,特别是对倒塔高风险区、风偏高风险区及地质灾害高风险区进行了详细划分。分析结果可为各级电网应对台风灾害的风险评估与处置提供支持。
Zhejiang, as a crucial coastal province in China, deems the delineation of risk zones in its power system imperative for minimizing losses caused by typhoon disasters. Initially, the paper leverages historical data to comprehensively analyze meteorological features of typhoons in the Zhejiang coastal areas, focusing on aspects such as landing point distribution, path characteristics, temporal patterns, wind speed attributes, and precipitation features. Subsequently, an analysis of typhoon disaster characteristics in the Zhejiang power system is conducted. This entails examining the distribution of fault points in the transmission system, the relationship between the substation system and typhoon landing points, and the distribution of power outage percentages in the distribution system. Finally, utilizing historical data from both Zhejiang's typhoon meteorology and power system, the paper creates a map outlining the risk zones for typhoon disasters. This includes a detailed delineation of high-risk areas for tower collapses, areas prone to wind deviations, and regions with high geological disaster risks. The analysis results aim to support risk assessment and response measures for typhoon disasters across various levels of the power grid.
关键词(KeyWords):
台风灾害;浙江沿海地区;气象特征;电力系统;风险区域
typhoon disaster;Zhejiang coastal area;meteorological characteristics;power system;risk area
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金资助项目(61933005);; 国网浙江省电力有限公司科技项目(2006CB200303)
作者(Author):
王振国,康丽莉,李特,姜凯华,刘超,侯慧
WANG Zhenguo,KANG Lili,LI Te,JIANG Kaihua,LIU Chao,HOU Hui
DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.202403004
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- 台风灾害
- 浙江沿海地区
- 气象特征
- 电力系统
- 风险区域
typhoon disaster - Zhejiang coastal area
- meteorological characteristics
- power system
- risk area