浙江电力

2019, v.38;No.275(03) 92-97

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基于数据挖掘技术的配电网精准投资策略研究
Research on Precision Investment Strategy of Distribution Network Based on Data Mining Technology

黄宏和,吴臻,琚军,章斌,王雪峰,潘永贺,郑辉,赵仲夏
HUANG Honghe,WU Zhen,JU Jun,ZHANG Bin,WANG Xuefeng,PAN Yonghe,ZHENG Hui,ZHAO Zhongxia

摘要(Abstract):

随着电网规模的逐步增大,电力企业的投资规模和实际效益难以量化,在落实配电网精准投资方面缺乏有效的手段。创新运用数据挖掘和分析方法,通过项目投资前的决策评价和项目后的目标实现、电网运营水平的提升和经济效益评估来建立配电网精准投资策略。对试点区块进行小范围验证,结果表明:依据项目投资前评价来统筹需求和投资能力,能够避免或减少配电网项目决策的失误;建立投资后评估模型分析产出效益,能够定位电网在投入产出效率效益方面存在的不足,为未来配电网精准投资提出指导性意见,从而实现电网效益最大化。
With the scale of power grid is gradually increasing, the investment scale and actual benefits of power enterprises cannot be quantified, and there are no effective means for implementing precision investment of power grid. By innovatively use data mining and analysis method, this paper establishes accurate investment strategy of distribution network through pre-investment decision-making evaluation, post-project goal realization, grid operation level improvement and economic benefit evaluation. The result shows that balancing the demand and investment capacity according to the pre-investment evaluation of the project can avoid or reduce the decision-making mistake of the distribution network project; the post-investment evaluation model is established to analyze the output benefit to locate the shortcomings of the grid in the efficiency of input and output and to provide guidance for future accurate investment in distribution network so as to maximize the efficiency of the power grid.

关键词(KeyWords): 数据挖掘技术;电网精准投资;投入产出;熵权法;效益最大化
data mining technology;grid precision investment;input-output;entropy method;efficiency maximization

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国网浙江省电力有限公司科技项目(5211QZ170003)

作者(Author): 黄宏和,吴臻,琚军,章斌,王雪峰,潘永贺,郑辉,赵仲夏
HUANG Honghe,WU Zhen,JU Jun,ZHANG Bin,WANG Xuefeng,PAN Yonghe,ZHENG Hui,ZHAO Zhongxia

DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.201903017

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