王晓寅,刘俊勇,唐现刚,向月,马玮
WANG Xiaoyin,LIU Junyong,TANG Xiangang,XIANG Yue,MA Wei

• 1:国网浙江省电力公司衢州供电公司
• 2:四川大学电气信息学院
• 3:智能电网四川省重点实验室

摘要(Abstract)：

基于用地决策法的空间负荷预测法,建立了发展中城市的电动汽车及其充电负荷的空间分布预测模型。结合电动汽车的空间分布及其出行特性,对电网负荷率和网损进行分析,以优化城市配电网利用率为目标,构建出电动汽车强制性有序充电模型。通过算例说明在较高的电动汽车市场普及率下无序充电将给城市配网带来严重负荷冲击,并验证了本文所构建的有序充电模型在不同市场普及率下的有效性。
Using spatial load forecasting method based land-use decision method, this paper establishes the model of spatial distribution forecasting for electric vehicles and the charging load in developing cities. Combining spatial distribution of electric vehicles and the travel features, the paper analyzes the load factor and grid loss and establishes a mandatory coordinated charging model in order to optimize the utilization of distribution network. It is illustrated by the example that uncoordinated charging mode has serious impact on the distribution network in case of high vehicle popularizing rate; moreover, it verifies that the model is valid in different popularization rates.

关键词(KeyWords)： 电动汽车;空间负荷预测;负荷率;有序充电;市场普及率
electric vehicle;spatial load forecasting;loading rate;coordinated charging;popularization rate

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目51377111,推动电动汽车发展的充换电服务网络演变类比研究及配网协同规划理论

作者(Author): 王晓寅,刘俊勇,唐现刚,向月,马玮
WANG Xiaoyin,LIU Junyong,TANG Xiangang,XIANG Yue,MA Wei

DOI: 10.19585/j.zjdl.2014.02.003

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